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2024-12-13 22:55:36

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.China Merchants Ping 'an Assets established the No.2 Investment Center for Intelligent Calculation. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, Shenzhen Zhaoping Intelligent Calculation No.2 Investment Center (Limited Partnership) was established with a capital contribution of 300 million yuan, and its business scope includes: engaging in investment activities with its own funds. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the enterprise is indirectly wholly-owned by Shenzhen Merchants Ping An Asset Management Co., Ltd.


Market News: The motion of impeaching South Korean President Yin Xiyue was reported to the South Korean National Assembly.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange closed down 0.1% at 23,020.48 points.CICC: The personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country to help the long-term development of the insurance industry. CICC published a research report that the personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country. The bank believes that as one of the important allocation directions of personal pension, various promotion policies will help the long-term development of the insurance industry. Although the average scale of personal pension is small compared with other savings insurance, it can still obtain stable long-term funds and high-quality new customers if it is properly operated. Zhongjin pointed out that in the early stage, the insurance industry may need to establish close ties with powerful sales channels or explore the characteristic mode of self-owned agent channel sales. In the long run, it is necessary to strengthen its own asset management capabilities and explore special services such as health care, which may help build core competitiveness.


Joy City's daily limit The fourth Joy City in Beijing is about to open, and Joy City (000031.SZ) has raised its daily limit to a new high price in 4 yuan for 15 months, with a total market value of 17.1 billion yuan. According to the news, Haidian Joy City, the fourth Joy City in Beijing, will open on December 21st. At present, the second installation of many brands has come to an end, and the merchants in the venue have entered intensive preparations for opening.By 13:42, 100 stocks in the two cities had daily limit.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.

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